24 Jul · 15:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KJ
🇺🇦Karel Jirousek
ELO 1440
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jirousek
FK
🇺🇦Filip Kubos
ELO 1433
FormWLWLL
51%
49%
🌟Jirousek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 18% (38)
Fair odds · Jirousek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H5-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.