24 Jul · 11:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TH
🇺🇦Tomas Hucko
ELO 1533
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Semrad
PS
🇺🇦Petr Semrad
ELO 1550
FormWLLWL
48%
52%
🌟Semrad rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (60)
Fair odds · Semrad
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H13-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.