24 Jul · 14:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii S Marushchak
ELO 1578
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Marushchak
AH
🇺🇦Andrii Hrabskyi
ELO 1577
FormWLLWW
50%
50%
🌟Hrabskyi covers set handicap as underdog 66% (95)
Fair odds · Marushchak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H19-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.