24 Jul · 14:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VV
🇺🇦Vladimir Voronenko
ELO 1468
FormLLLWL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Yurkov
AY
🇺🇦Artem Yurkov
ELO 1664
FormWLWWW
30%
70%
🔥 Underdog lean · Voronenko🌟Yurkov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (123)
Fair odds · Yurkov
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~74 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
11%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+196
H2H77-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+196)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (77-28)