24 Jul · 14:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JB
🇺🇦Jan Blazek
ELO 1414
FormWWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Dvoracek
AD
🇺🇦Adam Dvoracek
ELO 1466
FormLWLWL
44%
56%
🌟Blazek covers set handicap as underdog 64% (55)
Fair odds · Dvoracek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H12-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-8)