24 Jul · 16:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Priadko
ELO 1412
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Priadko
VA
🇺🇦Vitalii Ananiev
ELO 1395
FormLWLLL
52%
48%
🌟Ananiev covers set handicap as underdog 64% (44)
Fair odds · Priadko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H34-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.