24 Jul · 09:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TL
🇺🇦Tomas Liska
ELO 1493
FormLWWLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Dobias
LD
🇺🇦Ladislav Dobias
ELO 1638
FormLLWLW
35%
65%
🔥 Underdog lean · Liska🌟Dobias rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (137)
Fair odds · Dobias
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+145
H2H9-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+145)