24 Jul · 16:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KJ
🇺🇦Karel Jirousek
ELO 1440
FormLLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kotrbacek
PK
🇺🇦Petr Kotrbacek
ELO 1488
FormLLLWL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jirousek
Fair odds · Kotrbacek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H3-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)