24 Jul · 18:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
NH
🇺🇦Nikita Hoshko
ELO 1584
FormWLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zeniuk
DZ
🇺🇦Dmytro Zeniuk
ELO 1597
FormWLLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Zeniuk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.