25 Jul · 10:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1604
FormLWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Volkov
OT
🇺🇦Oleksandr Tymofeev
ELO 1571
FormWLLWL
54%
46%
🌟Tymofeev stays under total as underdog 65% (37)
Fair odds · Volkov
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H19-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.