25 Jul · 10:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fashchevskyi
ELO 1514
FormLWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Fashchevskyi
VK
🇺🇦Volodymyr Kuzmych
ELO 1432
FormWLLLL
59%
41%
🌟Fashchevskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 21% (53)
Fair odds · Fashchevskyi
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)