25 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MD
🇺🇦Maksym Denysenko
ELO 1489
FormWLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kuzmenko
AK
🇺🇦Anatolii Kuzmenko
ELO 1490
FormLLWWL
50%
50%
🌟Kuzmenko stays under total as favourite 64% (14)
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.