25 Jul · 07:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fashchevskyi
ELO 1514
FormLWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Hrybeniuk
VH
🇺🇦Volodymyr Hrybeniuk
ELO 1587
FormWWWLL
42%
58%
🌟Fashchevskyi covers set handicap as underdog 70% (82)
Fair odds · Hrybeniuk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H17-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-12)