25 Jul · 09:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Derevianko
ELO 1530
FormLLLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Riadynskyi
YR
🇺🇦Yehor Riadynskyi
ELO 1645
FormLWWLW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Riadynskyi
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H63-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (63-27)