25 Jul · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VH
🇺🇦Vit Herrmann
ELO 1464
FormLLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Vorel
MV
🇺🇦Martin Vorel
ELO 1515
FormWWWLW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Herrmann🌟Vorel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (78)
Fair odds · Vorel
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H12-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-9)