25 Jul · 09:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LP
🇺🇦Lukas Provaznik
ELO 1605
FormWLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Provaznik
MS
🇺🇦Martin Skyba
ELO 1555
FormLLWWL
55%
45%
🌟Provaznik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (27)
Fair odds · Provaznik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H6-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)