25 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RB
🇺🇦Roman Boklah
ELO 1301
FormLWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Priadko
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Priadko
ELO 1303
FormWLLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Priadko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H15-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.