25 Jul · 10:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YR
🇺🇦Yehor Riadynskyi
ELO 1645
FormLWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Lievshin
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1671
FormWWLWW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Riadynskyi🌟Riadynskyi covers set handicap as underdog 68% (34)
Fair odds · Lievshin
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H15-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.