25 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ML
🇺🇦Myhailo Levytskii
ELO 1616
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Levytskii
DT
🇺🇦Dmytro Tsys
ELO 1600
FormWLWLW
52%
48%
🌟Tsys covers set handicap as underdog 67% (27)
Fair odds · Levytskii
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H15-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.