25 Jul · 08:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IP
🇺🇦Ivan Pytsko
ELO 1541
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Potapov
MP
🇺🇦Mykhailo Potapov
ELO 1554
FormLLWWW
49%
51%
🌟Pytsko stays under total as underdog 65% (17)
Fair odds · Potapov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H31-36
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.