25 Jul · 09:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VP
🇺🇦Volodymyr Plishylo
ELO 1504
FormLWLLW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Pesternikov
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1708
FormLLWLW
30%
70%
🌟Plishylo covers set handicap as underdog 71% (95)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~72 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
25%
2-3
16%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+204
H2H51-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+204)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (51-28)