25 Jul · 10:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kravets
ELO 1517
FormWLWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Shcherbak
DS
🇺🇦Denys Shcherbak
ELO 1620
FormWLLWW
39%
61%
🌟Kravets covers set handicap as underdog 69% (62)
Fair odds · Shcherbak
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~73 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+103
H2H8-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-5)