25 Jul · 08:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1604
FormLWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Volkov
AL
🇺🇦Arsenii Lobanov
ELO 1523
FormLLLLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Volkov
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 36% · 2.81· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H5-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)