25 Jul · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1593
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kovshun
AL
🇺🇦Arsenii Lobanov
ELO 1523
FormLLLLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Kovshun
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)