25 Jul · 09:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1593
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kovshun
VV
🇺🇦Vitalii Vietrov
ELO 1577
FormLWWLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Kovshun
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.