25 Jul · 08:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VP
🇺🇦Volodymyr Plishylo
ELO 1504
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Lazebny
RL
🇺🇦Ruslan Lazebny
ELO 1524
FormLLWWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Plishylo🌟Plishylo covers set handicap as underdog 71% (95)
Fair odds · Lazebny
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.