25 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PA
🇺🇦Petr Abraham
ELO 1512
FormWLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vorel
MV
🇺🇦Martin Vorel
ELO 1515
FormWWWLW
50%
50%
🌟Vorel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (78)
Fair odds · Vorel
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H10-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.