25 Jul · 07:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Derevianko
ELO 1530
FormLLLWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Lievshin
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1671
FormWWLWW
35%
65%
🔥 Underdog lean · Derevianko
Fair odds · Lievshin
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+141
H2H12-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)