25 Jul · 08:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OG
🇺🇦Oleksii Gazhula
ELO 1511
FormLLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Gazhula
VK
🇺🇦Volodymyr Kuzmych
ELO 1432
FormWLLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Gazhula
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)