25 Jul · 09:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DB
🇺🇦David Brichacek
ELO 1584
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kolman
LK
🇺🇦Leon Kolman
ELO 1592
FormWWLWL
49%
51%
🌟Brichacek covers set handicap as underdog 64% (36)
Fair odds · Kolman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H3-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.