25 Jul · 10:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DZ
🇺🇦Dmytro Zeniuk
ELO 1558
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Zeniuk
RL
🇺🇦Ruslan Lazebny
ELO 1524
FormLLWWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Zeniuk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.