25 Jul · 08:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tkalich
ELO 1324
FormWWLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Semenets
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Semenets
ELO 1421
FormWWWLL
40%
60%
🌟Semenets rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (77)
Fair odds · Semenets
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~72 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+97
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)