25 Jul · 07:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MD
🇺🇦Maksym Denysenko
ELO 1489
FormWLLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Tsys
DT
🇺🇦Dmytro Tsys
ELO 1600
FormWLWLW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Tsys
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)