25 Jul · 09:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OT
🇺🇦Oleksandr Tymofeev
ELO 1571
FormWLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kryvenko
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Kryvenko
ELO 1583
FormLWWWL
49%
51%
🌟Tymofeev stays under total as underdog 65% (37)
Fair odds · Kryvenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H7-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.