25 Jul · 07:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
IS
🇺🇦Ihor Serdiuk
ELO 1556
FormWLWWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Serdiuk
AF
🇺🇦Andrii Fastov
ELO 1436
FormLLWWL
63%
37%
🔥 Underdog lean · Fastov🌟Fastov goes over total as underdog 83% (23)
Fair odds · Serdiuk
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~74 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+120
H2H11-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-3)