25 Jul · 07:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DZ
🇺🇦Dmytro Zeniuk
ELO 1558
FormLLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Pesternikov
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1708
FormLLWLW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+150
H2H23-47
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+150)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)