25 Jul · 08:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VV
🇺🇦Vitalii Vietrov
ELO 1577
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vietrov
OT
🇺🇦Oleksandr Tymofeev
ELO 1571
FormWLLWL
51%
49%
🌟Tymofeev stays under total as underdog 65% (37)
Fair odds · Vietrov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.