25 Jul · 15:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇺🇦Pavel Plakushchyi
ELO 1524
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Hohenko
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Hohenko
ELO 1593
FormLWWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Hohenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)