25 Jul · 21:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OG
🇺🇦Oleg Gavryshko
ELO 1595
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Gavryshko
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Hohenko
ELO 1593
FormLWWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Gavryshko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.