25 Jul · 20:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇺🇦Myhailo Styranets
ELO 1555
FormLWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Lutsyshyn
OL
🇺🇦Oleh Lutsyshyn
ELO 1585
FormLWWWL
47%
53%
🌟Lutsyshyn stays under total as favourite 62% (58)
Fair odds · Lutsyshyn
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~82 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.