25 Jul · 18:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AC
🇺🇦Artem Chepurnyi
ELO 1619
FormWWLLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Kryvorotko
YK
🇺🇦Yevhenii Kryvorotko
ELO 1761
FormWWWWL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Kryvorotko
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+142
H2H37-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-29)