25 Jul · 19:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AC
🇺🇦Artem Chepurnyi
ELO 1619
FormWWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Chepurnyi
OG
🇺🇦Oleg Gavryshko
ELO 1590
FormLLLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Chepurnyi
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H43-34
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.