26 Jul · 10:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Patalakha
ELO 1460
FormWLWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Tymofeev
OT
🇺🇦Oleksandr Tymofeev
ELO 1551
FormWLLLL
40%
60%
🌟Patalakha stays under total as underdog 67% (24)
Fair odds · Tymofeev
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+91
H2H10-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-0)