26 Jul · 10:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Zhyrnov
ELO 1560
FormLLLLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Zhyrnov
YM
🇺🇦Yaroslav Makovka
ELO 1402
FormLLLLL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Zhyrnov
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+158
H2H12-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+158)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-8)