26 Jul · 16:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1488
FormLWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mytsyk
VS
🇺🇦Vasiliy Smyk
ELO 1437
FormWWLLL
55%
45%
🌟Mytsyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (117)
Fair odds · Mytsyk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H30-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-25)