26 Jul · 11:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VT
🇺🇦Volodymyr Tatarnykov
ELO 1604
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Aristarkhov
SA
🇺🇦Serhii Aristarkhov
ELO 1670
FormWWLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Aristarkhov
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H56-37
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (56-37)