26 Jul · 13:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AM
🇺🇦Andrii Martyniuk
ELO 1530
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Solomko
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1546
FormWLLLW
48%
52%
🌟Solomko stays under total as favourite 65% (80)
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H3-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.