26 Jul · 06:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Prus
ELO 1536
FormLWLWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Prus
DK
🇺🇦Denys Kozoriz
ELO 1431
FormLLLLL
61%
39%
🌟Kozoriz stays under total as underdog 69% (54)
Fair odds · Prus
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~72 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H19-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-4)