26 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PH
🇺🇦Petr Hlina
ELO 1486
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hanacek
JH
🇺🇦Josef Hanacek
ELO 1506
FormWWWWW
48%
52%
🌟Hanacek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (57)
Fair odds · Hanacek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.