26 Jul · 07:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1462
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Matviichuk
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Honcharenko
ELO 1454
FormLLWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Matviichuk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H52-58
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.